Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.91 – 310.53

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.9 ±12.7

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 16.54Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 30.27Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 17.1Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 669.4 ±10.7

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 245.44Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 52.25Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 12.84Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9034, 5431, 5682

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9034, 5431, 5682

Auto

16.9 28%

Teleop

31.3 52%

Endgame

11.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 8749, 4717

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9128, 8749, 4717

Auto

83.8 27%

Teleop

165.1 53%

Endgame

60.2 19%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.9pts

Blue projected score310.5pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -246.6
Score range: 26–349
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 211.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.9Season APEX669.4

16.9Auto83.8

31.3Teleop165.1

11.6Endgame60.2

26Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	90
teleop	48	132
endgame	7	15
foul	0	0
total	58	237

Result

Final score

58 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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