Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
500.58 – 327.75
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
493 – 291
Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 702.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 245.62Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 21.3Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 233.66Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 173.44Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 10.07Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 144.24Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9128, 9492, 10340
80
/ 100 compatProjected
500.6 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9128, 9492, 10340
Auto
113.7 23%
Teleop
293.4 60%
Endgame
84.9 17%
Strengths
- · 9128 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2848, 5411, 6773
81
/ 100 compatProjected
327.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2848, 5411, 6773
Auto
47.7 15%
Teleop
181.3 57%
Endgame
89.3 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score500.6pts
Blue projected score327.8pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 172.8
- Score range
- 290–539
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
702.3Season APEX502.1
113.7Auto47.7
293.4Teleop181.3
84.9Endgame89.3
0Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 134 | 71 |
| teleop | 219 | 141 |
| endgame | 140 | 79 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 493 | 291 |
Result
Final score
493 – 291
Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts
Match videos
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