Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
490.31 – 324.41
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
576 – 361
Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 702.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 242.15Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 17.99Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 230.17Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 172.5Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 8.96Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 142.95Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9128, 9492, 10340
80
/ 100 compatProjected
490.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9128, 9492, 10340
Auto
109.8 23%
Teleop
290.7 60%
Endgame
80.0 17%
Strengths
- · 9128 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2848, 5411, 6773
81
/ 100 compatProjected
324.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2848, 5411, 6773
Auto
49.8 16%
Teleop
177.7 56%
Endgame
87.1 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score490.3pts
Blue projected score324.4pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 165.9
- Score range
- 287–527
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
702.3Season APEX502.1
109.8Auto49.8
290.7Teleop177.7
80Endgame87.1
0Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 140 | 32 |
| teleop | 315 | 213 |
| endgame | 121 | 111 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 576 | 361 |
Result
Final score
576 – 361
Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts
Match videos
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