Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
277.91 – 126.76
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
351 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 62.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 39Event APEX 8.1Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 163.25Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 106.56Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.6 ±11
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 26.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 53.66Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86Event APEX 46.88Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5503, 2468, 3035
81
/ 100 compatProjected
277.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5503, 2468, 3035
Auto
39.6 15%
Teleop
153.8 57%
Endgame
74.8 28%
Strengths
- · 2468 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4332, 10385, 2158
64
/ 100 compatProjected
126.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4332, 10385, 2158
Auto
23.6 19%
Teleop
51.4 41%
Endgame
49.5 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score277.9pts
Blue projected score126.8pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 151.2
- Score range
- 107–298
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
593.3Season APEX240.6
39.6Auto23.6
153.8Teleop51.4
74.8Endgame49.5
54Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 32 |
| teleop | 202 | 84 |
| endgame | 91 | 63 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 351 | 179 |
Result
Final score
351 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 62.7 pts
Match videos
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