Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.21 – 113.97

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.7 ±12.2

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 18.53Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 37.66Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 25.02Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.6 ±11.6

4219RED!

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 48.13Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 45.16Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 20.68Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9137, 8507, 4328

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9137, 8507, 4328

Auto

23.5 30%

Teleop

34.7 45%

Endgame

19.0 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4219, 8088, 2950

/ 100 compat

Projected

114 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4219, 8088, 2950

Auto

25.0 23%

Teleop

53.1 49%

Endgame

30.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.2pts

Blue projected score114pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.8
Score range: 61–134
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 113.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.7Season APEX189.6

23.5Auto25

34.7Teleop53.1

19Endgame30.2

37Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	31
teleop	49	65
endgame	31	22
foul	0	0
total	103	118

Result

Final score

103 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts

Match videos

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