Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

82.34 – 77.46

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191 ±10.4

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 28.62Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 31.45Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 22.27Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173 ±12.8

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 22.79Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11224Azreal

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 18.41Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 36.26Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10913, 9577, 10032

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10913, 9577, 10032

Auto

22.2 29%

Teleop

35.6 47%

Endgame

18.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9311, 11224, 8114

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9311, 11224, 8114

Auto

14.5 20%

Teleop

35.8 48%

Endgame

23.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.3pts

Blue projected score77.5pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.9
Score range: 57–102
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 113.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191Season APEX173

22.2Auto14.5

35.6Teleop35.8

18.2Endgame23.7

62Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	24
teleop	79	20
endgame	10	21
foul	0	15
total	122	80

Result

Final score

122 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.