Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 15.94

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 57 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±11.6

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 10.02Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX -15.13Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX -7.37Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.2 ±11

9444Perseverance

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -15.13Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 10.02Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 21.05Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10913, 2950, 7088

/ 100 compat

Projected

-12.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10913, 2950, 7088

Auto

9.6 0%

Teleop

-11.0 83%

Endgame

-11.9 89%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9444, 2687, 5894

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9444, 2687, 5894

Auto

10.3 67%

Teleop

3.1 20%

Endgame

1.9 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-12.5pts

Blue projected score15.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.9
Score range: -18–34
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 99.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.6Season APEX150.2

9.6Auto10.3

-11Teleop3.1

-11.9Endgame1.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	14
teleop	17	42
endgame	9	30
foul	0	0
total	44	86

Result

Final score

44 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 57 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.