Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
94.56 – 60
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
31 – 239
Prediction missed · off by 121.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 104.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 13.14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 24.56Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX 56.86Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 25.14Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 4.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112Event APEX 30Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7521, 9478, 5503
67
/ 100 compatProjected
94.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7521, 9478, 5503
Auto
18.5 21%
Teleop
43.3 48%
Endgame
28.1 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10385, 11224, 4639
54
/ 100 compatProjected
60 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10385, 11224, 4639
Auto
17.4 29%
Teleop
28.3 47%
Endgame
14.3 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.6pts
Blue projected score60pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 34.6
- Score range
- 42–113
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
104.2Season APEX263.2
18.5Auto17.4
43.3Teleop28.3
28.1Endgame14.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 63 |
| teleop | 12 | 134 |
| endgame | 5 | 42 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 31 | 239 |
Result
Final score
31 – 239
Prediction missed · off by 121.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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