Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.5 – 92.85

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.5 ±11

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 26.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 54.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 8.95Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.5 ±11.7

11224Azreal

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 21.46Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 19.2Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 52.19Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10913, 2689, 7088

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10913, 2689, 7088

Auto

32.8 38%

Teleop

37.2 43%

Endgame

15.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11224, 10032, 2687

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11224, 10032, 2687

Auto

25.1 29%

Teleop

44.4 51%

Endgame

16.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.5pts

Blue projected score92.9pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.3
Score range: 71–113
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 111.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.5Season APEX164.5

32.8Auto25.1

37.2Teleop44.4

15.9Endgame16.9

31Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	31
teleop	29	67
endgame	27	2
foul	5	0
total	97	100

Result

Final score

97 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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