Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.38 – 188.81

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 34.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.9 ±11.7

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 37.41Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX 1.76Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 40.21Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398 ±10.5

4219RED!

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 43.18Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 41.25Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 104.38Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8114, 7138, 8507

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8114, 7138, 8507

Auto

13.0 17%

Teleop

37.8 48%

Endgame

27.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4219, 8088, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4219, 8088, 3035

Auto

32.3 18%

Teleop

94.6 52%

Endgame

55.3 30%

Strengths

· 3035 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.4pts

Blue projected score188.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.4
Score range: 59–209
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 110.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.9Season APEX398

13Auto32.3

37.8Teleop94.6

27.2Endgame55.3

0Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	39
teleop	45	128
endgame	35	58
foul	20	0
total	112	225

Result

Final score

112 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 34.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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