Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.37 – 203.97

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.5 ±10.4

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 43.09Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 37.87Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2158the ausTIN CANs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 47.41Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.6 ±10.5

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 114.84Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 26.75Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 62.38Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8088, 8507, 2158

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8088, 8507, 2158

Auto

19.5 16%

Teleop

59.5 48%

Endgame

44.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3035, 4332, 6357

/ 100 compat

Projected

204 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3035, 4332, 6357

Auto

43.9 22%

Teleop

101.4 50%

Endgame

57.3 28%

Strengths

· 3035 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.4pts

Blue projected score204pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.6
Score range: 106–226
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 123.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.5Season APEX379.6

19.5Auto43.9

59.5Teleop101.4

44.3Endgame57.3

50Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	30
teleop	40	121
endgame	50	81
foul	0	0
total	102	232

Result

Final score

102 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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