Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.76 – 247.35

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.1 ±11.6

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 25.25Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 31.4Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 18.11Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.6 ±9.8

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 44.18Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 153.85Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 49.32Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4332, 4328, 10032

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4332, 4328, 10032

Auto

25.4 34%

Teleop

24.4 32%

Endgame

25.3 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8507, 2468, 2687

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8507, 2468, 2687

Auto

37.9 16%

Teleop

132.5 57%

Endgame

63.1 27%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.8pts

Blue projected score247.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.6
Score range: 56–266
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 104.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.1Season APEX446.6

25.4Auto37.9

24.4Teleop132.5

25.3Endgame63.1

32Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	25
teleop	12	151
endgame	11	68
foul	5	15
total	45	259

Result

Final score

45 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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