Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.88 – 166.99

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 85.8 ±13.3

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX 4.09Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 11.54Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9478Robo-Colts HSISL

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 22.25Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.9 ±10.5

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 41.52Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 24.74Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 100.73Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7138, 5894, 9478

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7138, 5894, 9478

Auto

16.9 38%

Teleop

25.0 57%

Endgame

2.1 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8114, 4597, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

167 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8114, 4597, 3035

Auto

26.8 17%

Teleop

79.7 52%

Endgame

47.6 31%

Strengths

· 3035 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.9pts

Blue projected score167pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129.1
Score range: 19–186
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

85.8Season APEX360.9

16.9Auto26.8

25Teleop79.7

2.1Endgame47.6

14Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	32
teleop	16	108
endgame	13	47
foul	0	0
total	41	187

Result

Final score

41 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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