Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.4 – 41.1

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.8 ±12.7

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 26.86Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 10.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX 1.69Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.4 ±11.7

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 12.8Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 22.76Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7521ULTIMATE Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 5.54Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4597, 2950, 7138

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 2950, 7138

Auto

12.4 31%

Teleop

21.8 54%

Endgame

6.3 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10032, 10913, 7521

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10032, 10913, 7521

Auto

20.9 60%

Teleop

4.7 14%

Endgame

9.1 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.4pts

Blue projected score41.1pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.7
Score range: 20–60
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 126 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

101.8Season APEX165.4

12.4Auto20.9

21.8Teleop4.7

6.3Endgame9.1

48Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	16
teleop	12	41
endgame	6	28
foul	0	0
total	41	85

Result

Final score

41 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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