Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.92 – 57.33

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.6 ±10.5

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 17.83Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 15.63Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 165.46Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.7 ±12.8

9478Robo-Colts HSISL

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 23.08Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 15.7Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11224Azreal

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 18.55Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9577, 5894, 2468

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9577, 5894, 2468

Auto

26.5 14%

Teleop

112.9 58%

Endgame

56.8 29%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9478, 11169, 11224

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9478, 11169, 11224

Auto

29.1 48%

Teleop

22.3 37%

Endgame

8.9 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score198.9pts

Blue projected score57.3pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 141.6
Score range: 38–218
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 105.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378.6Season APEX137.7

26.5Auto29.1

112.9Teleop22.3

56.8Endgame8.9

176Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	9
teleop	103	14
endgame	13	6
foul	15	0
total	175	29

Result

Final score

175 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.