Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.86 – 101.36

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

160 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.1 ±11

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 36.98Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 16.5Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 47.38Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.4 ±12.2

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 24.8Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 60.96Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 15.6Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2687, 4597, 2689

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2687, 4597, 2689

Auto

34.4 35%

Teleop

51.4 52%

Endgame

13.2 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4328, 10385, 9137

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4328, 10385, 9137

Auto

35.0 37%

Teleop

43.5 46%

Endgame

16.0 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.9pts

Blue projected score101.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.5
Score range: 82–120
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 292 vs event baseline 104.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.1Season APEX199.4

34.4Auto35

51.4Teleop43.5

13.2Endgame16

104Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	38
teleop	69	68
endgame	28	26
foul	40	0
total	160	132

Result

Final score

160 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 44.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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