Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.86 – 94.53

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

185 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.9 ±9.8

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 24.32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2158the ausTIN CANs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 40.61Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 98.93Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.6 ±11

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 44.54Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 34.44Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 15.55Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10032, 2158, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10032, 2158, 3035

Auto

20.3 13%

Teleop

71.3 47%

Endgame

60.6 40%

Strengths

· 3035 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2687, 11169, 2950

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2687, 11169, 2950

Auto

27.9 29%

Teleop

44.5 46%

Endgame

23.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.9pts

Blue projected score94.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.3
Score range: 76–183
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 104.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.9Season APEX164.6

20.3Auto27.9

71.3Teleop44.5

60.6Endgame23.4

143Consistency166

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	28
teleop	90	4
endgame	73	7
foul	0	0
total	185	39

Result

Final score

185 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.