Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.79 – 189.63

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.8 ±12.8

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 55.47Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX -9.36Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7521ULTIMATE Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 2.68Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.7 ±9.8

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 30.64Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 0.83Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 158.16Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10385, 7138, 7521

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10385, 7138, 7521

Auto

18.5 34%

Teleop

26.9 49%

Endgame

9.8 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8507, 10913, 2468

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8507, 10913, 2468

Auto

28.2 16%

Teleop

98.9 54%

Endgame

54.4 30%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.8pts

Blue projected score189.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -140.8
Score range: 30–209
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 103.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.8Season APEX460.7

18.5Auto28.2

26.9Teleop98.9

9.8Endgame54.4

62Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	48
teleop	36	139
endgame	30	67
foul	0	0
total	88	254

Result

Final score

88 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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