Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
140.41 – 105.5
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
90 – 95
Prediction missed · off by 30.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 58.12Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 26.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 55.72Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.5 ±11
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 17.77Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 1.39Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112Event APEX 86.34Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10385, 10032, 6357
79
/ 100 compatProjected
140.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10385, 10032, 6357
Auto
37.7 29%
Teleop
63.7 49%
Endgame
29.8 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9577, 7088, 4639
65
/ 100 compatProjected
105.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9577, 7088, 4639
Auto
32.9 32%
Teleop
64.1 62%
Endgame
6.8 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score140.4pts
Blue projected score105.5pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 34.9
- Score range
- 87–159
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
252.5Season APEX208.5
37.7Auto32.9
63.7Teleop64.1
29.8Endgame6.8
82Consistency170
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 26 |
| teleop | 33 | 35 |
| endgame | 30 | 34 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 90 | 95 |
Result
Final score
90 – 95
Prediction missed · off by 30.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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