Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

42.07 – 0.77

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

72 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.7 ±11.7

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 15.09Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9478Robo-Colts HSISL

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 17.18Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 9.8Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130.4 ±13.3

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 0.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 6.83Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX -6.8Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8088, 9478, 10913

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8088, 9478, 10913

Auto

18.4 47%

Teleop

17.5 45%

Endgame

3.2 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2950, 9137, 9311

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2950, 9137, 9311

Auto

3.3 0%

Teleop

-3.3 100%

Endgame

-2.2 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.1pts

Blue projected score0.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.3
Score range: -17–60
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 101.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.7Season APEX130.4

18.4Auto3.3

17.5Teleop-3.3

3.2Endgame-2.2

17Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	12
teleop	38	31
endgame	11	19
foul	0	0
total	72	62

Result

Final score

72 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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