Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.14 – 179.7

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.7 ±11.7

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 52.16Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7521ULTIMATE Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 4.41Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 18.57Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.7 ±11.7

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 90.91Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 74Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 14.79Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6357, 7521, 2687

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6357, 7521, 2687

Auto

16.3 20%

Teleop

42.0 52%

Endgame

22.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4639, 2689, 9137

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4639, 2689, 9137

Auto

47.4 27%

Teleop

99.7 56%

Endgame

30.2 17%

Strengths

· 4639 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.1pts

Blue projected score179.7pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.6
Score range: 57–198
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 99.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.7Season APEX256.7

16.3Auto47.4

42Teleop99.7

22.2Endgame30.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	51
teleop	28	92
endgame	16	9
foul	0	5
total	82	157

Result

Final score

82 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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