Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.52 – 76.73

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.8 ±12.7

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 3.92Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 53.72Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX -0.12Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.7 ±11

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 36.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2158the ausTIN CANs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 20.69Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 19.91Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4597, 4332, 9311

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 4332, 9311

Auto

3.7 6%

Teleop

27.4 47%

Endgame

27.1 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4328, 2158, 9577

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4328, 2158, 9577

Auto

11.2 15%

Teleop

30.3 40%

Endgame

35.0 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.5pts

Blue projected score76.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.2
Score range: 39–96
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 103.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.8Season APEX191.7

3.7Auto11.2

27.4Teleop30.3

27.1Endgame35

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	23
teleop	13	32
endgame	13	21
foul	0	0
total	42	76

Result

Final score

42 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.