Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.34 – 81.39

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 102 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.7 ±11.7

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 24.23Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 38.29Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 12.82Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491.3 ±9.8

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 63.25Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX -6.09Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2689Team Alpha

Season APEX 106Event APEX 24.23Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10032, 8507, 9137

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10032, 8507, 9137

Auto

10.2 14%

Teleop

33.0 44%

Endgame

31.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2468, 8114, 2689

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2468, 8114, 2689

Auto

7.5 9%

Teleop

42.5 53%

Endgame

29.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.3pts

Blue projected score81.4pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6
Score range: 58–98
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 95.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.7Season APEX491.3

10.2Auto7.5

33Teleop42.5

31.3Endgame29.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	48
teleop	23	172
endgame	7	60
foul	20	0
total	70	280

Result

Final score

70 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 102 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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