Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.16 – 179.35

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.3 ±9.3

5503Smithville Tiger Trons

Season APEX 39Event APEX 15.84Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 170.6Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 115.72Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.7 ±10.4

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 99.31Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2687Team Apprentice

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 63.8Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9444Perseverance

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 16.24Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5503, 2468, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5503, 2468, 3035

Auto

42.1 14%

Teleop

171.4 58%

Endgame

81.6 28%

Strengths

· 2468 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4639, 2687, 9444

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4639, 2687, 9444

Auto

43.6 25%

Teleop

87.0 50%

Endgame

44.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score302.2pts

Blue projected score179.4pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.8
Score range: 157–324
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 511 vs event baseline 120.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593.3Season APEX242.7

42.1Auto43.6

171.4Teleop87

81.6Endgame44.8

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	43
teleop	200	83
endgame	78	58
foul	0	0
total	327	184

Result

Final score

327 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.