Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.56 – 83.52

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 73 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.5 ±11

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 58.22Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 75.6Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 26.74Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.7 ±12.2

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 80.88Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 9.18Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX -6.54Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6377, 9506, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6377, 9506, 8515

Auto

6.1 4%

Teleop

91.1 58%

Endgame

59.2 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 436, 7115, 2587

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 436, 7115, 2587

Auto

38.3 49%

Teleop

38.8 50%

Endgame

0.6 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score160.6pts

Blue projected score83.5pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77
Score range: 50–195
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 190.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.5Season APEX270.7

6.1Auto38.3

91.1Teleop38.8

59.2Endgame0.6

90Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	33
teleop	112	82
endgame	52	32
foul	20	0
total	243	147

Result

Final score

243 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 73 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree