Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
295.69 – 141.33
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
282 – 228
Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 421.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 63Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 146.95Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 85.74Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.7 ±11
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 46.32Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 54.61Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 40.4Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6357, 3847, 9506
81
/ 100 compatProjected
295.7 pts
~2.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6357, 3847, 9506
Auto
56.9 20%
Teleop
168.1 58%
Endgame
62.5 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6377, 436, 9577
60
/ 100 compatProjected
141.3 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6377, 436, 9577
Auto
41.5 28%
Teleop
74.7 51%
Endgame
30.4 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.68 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score295.7pts
Blue projected score141.3pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 82%, blue 83%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 154.4
- Score range
- 108–329
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
421.3Season APEX257.7
56.9Auto41.5
168.1Teleop74.7
62.5Endgame30.4
18Consistency122
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 56 |
| teleop | 140 | 147 |
| endgame | 95 | 25 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 282 | 228 |
Result
Final score
282 – 228
Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree