Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
192.06 – 6.45
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
276 – 78
Prediction correct · off by 77.7 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 86.69Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 122.44Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -17.07Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 36.52Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX -5.24Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX -24.83Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 418, 2881, 2789
69
/ 100 compatProjected
192.1 pts
~2.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 418, 2881, 2789
Auto
46.1 25%
Teleop
92.1 49%
Endgame
49.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 89%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8515, 7115, 2587
5
/ 100 compatProjected
6.5 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 8515, 7115, 2587
Auto
4.7 100%
Teleop
1.3 72%
Endgame
-4.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 89%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score192.1pts
Blue projected score6.5pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 89%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 185.6
- Score range
- -27–225
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
390.1Season APEX287.4
46.1Auto4.7
92.1Teleop1.3
49.3Endgame-4.2
76Consistency90
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 20 |
| teleop | 148 | 14 |
| endgame | 99 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 276 | 78 |
Result
Final score
276 – 78
Prediction correct · off by 77.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree