Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.76 – 105.88

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

154 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.7 ±11.6

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 24.97Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 49.49Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 42.3Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.6 ±11

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 1.81Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 56.09Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 47.98Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6357, 2789, 436

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.8 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6357, 2789, 436

Auto

19.8 17%

Teleop

54.8 46%

Endgame

43.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8515, 9577, 2587

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.9 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8515, 9577, 2587

Auto

35.4 35%

Teleop

37.3 37%

Endgame

28.2 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score116.8pts

Blue projected score105.9pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.9
Score range: 68–155
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 212.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.7Season APEX286.6

19.8Auto35.4

54.8Teleop37.3

43.6Endgame28.2

97Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	10
teleop	67	38
endgame	50	27
foul	0	0
total	154	75

Result

Final score

154 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree