Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

403.29 – 211.68

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

430 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.8 ±9.3

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 137.78Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 100.57Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 164.94Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.4 ±11.7

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 83.17Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 108.12Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 20.39Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2881, 9506, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.3 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2881, 9506, 3847

Auto

67.6 17%

Teleop

234.5 59%

Endgame

95.8 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 91%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6377, 418, 7115

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6377, 418, 7115

Auto

29.6 15%

Teleop

137.2 70%

Endgame

30.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 91%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.91 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score403.3pts

Blue projected score211.7pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 91%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 191.6
Score range: 174–441
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 557 vs event baseline 212.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.8Season APEX275.4

67.6Auto29.6

234.5Teleop137.2

95.8Endgame30.5

38Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	16
teleop	246	95
endgame	122	6
foul	5	10
total	430	127

Result

Final score

430 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree