Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.45 – 269.01

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 111.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.4 ±12.2

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 20.39Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 49.49Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 100.57Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424 ±9.8

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 56.09Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 164.94Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 47.98Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7115, 2789, 9506

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7115, 2789, 9506

Auto

25.1 16%

Teleop

86.0 56%

Endgame

43.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9577, 3847, 2587

/ 100 compat

Projected

269 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9577, 3847, 2587

Auto

56.2 21%

Teleop

145.8 56%

Endgame

59.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.38 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score170.5pts

Blue projected score269pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.6
Score range: 132–307
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 212.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.4Season APEX424

25.1Auto56.2

86Teleop145.8

43.7Endgame59.8

33Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	96
teleop	11	60
endgame	5	24
foul	0	0
total	36	180

Result

Final score

36 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 111.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree