Qualification · Qualification 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
245.92 – 152.23
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
269 – 206
Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 137.78Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 83.17Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 24.97Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 108.12Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 1.81Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91Event APEX 42.3Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2881, 6377, 6357
67
/ 100 compatProjected
245.9 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2881, 6377, 6357
Auto
34.8 14%
Teleop
160.3 65%
Endgame
50.8 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 80%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 418, 8515, 436
59
/ 100 compatProjected
152.2 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 418, 8515, 436
Auto
36.2 24%
Teleop
71.8 47%
Endgame
43.8 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 80%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score245.9pts
Blue projected score152.2pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 80%, blue 82%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 93.7
- Score range
- 114–284
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
432.5Season APEX306.6
34.8Auto36.2
160.3Teleop71.8
50.8Endgame43.8
61Consistency135
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 25 |
| teleop | 185 | 109 |
| endgame | 50 | 72 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 269 | 206 |
Result
Final score
269 – 206
Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree