Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
242.79 – 269.39
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
196 – 375
Prediction correct · off by 76.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.2 ±11.1
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 141.81Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 46.93Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 54.05Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 156.03Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 38.96Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 74.4Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2881, 436, 2789
71
/ 100 compatProjected
242.8 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2881, 436, 2789
Auto
34.7 14%
Teleop
139.3 57%
Endgame
71.8 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 89%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3847, 2587, 6377
76
/ 100 compatProjected
269.4 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3847, 2587, 6377
Auto
61.4 23%
Teleop
152.0 57%
Endgame
53.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 89%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.8 · Blue 2.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score242.8pts
Blue projected score269.4pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 89%, blue 78%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.6
- Score range
- 205–307
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
373.2Season APEX482.1
34.7Auto61.4
139.3Teleop152
71.8Endgame53.9
95Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 35 |
| teleop | 91 | 250 |
| endgame | 63 | 75 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 196 | 375 |
Result
Final score
196 – 375
Prediction correct · off by 76.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree