Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
117.35 – 223.09
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
75 – 176
Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 23.42Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 29.99Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 63.94Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307 ±11
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 103.99Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 7.13Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 111.97Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7115, 6357, 9577
42
/ 100 compatProjected
117.4 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 7115, 6357, 9577
Auto
16.3 17%
Teleop
66.1 67%
Endgame
16.2 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9506, 8515, 418
68
/ 100 compatProjected
223.1 pts
~2.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9506, 8515, 418
Auto
42.3 19%
Teleop
116.4 53%
Endgame
60.3 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score117.4pts
Blue projected score223.1pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 74%, blue 82%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -105.7
- Score range
- 79–261
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
194.2Season APEX307
16.3Auto42.3
66.1Teleop116.4
16.2Endgame60.3
64Consistency72
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 45 |
| teleop | 37 | 82 |
| endgame | 21 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 20 |
| total | 75 | 176 |
Result
Final score
75 – 176
Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree