Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

193.52140.31

66%34%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238113

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 385 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 19.09Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 149.18Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.25Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267 ±11.6
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 55.93Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 74.29Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 10.09Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7115, 3847, 6357
57
/ 100 compat
Projected
193.5 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 7115, 3847, 6357
Auto
42.0 24%
Teleop
110.0 62%
Endgame
25.4 14%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2789, 6377, 8515
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
140.3 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2789, 6377, 8515
Auto
25.7 19%
Teleop
70.5 52%
Endgame
39.5 29%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.18 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score193.5pts
Blue projected score140.3pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 76%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
53.2
Score range
101233
Upset likelihood
34%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 214.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385Season APEX267
42Auto25.7
110Teleop70.5
25.4Endgame39.5
35Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto926
teleop12558
endgame8929
foul150
total238113

Result

Final score

238113

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree