Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
193.52 – 140.31
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
238 – 113
Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 385 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 19.09Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 149.18Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.25Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267 ±11.6
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 55.93Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 74.29Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 10.09Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7115, 3847, 6357
57
/ 100 compatProjected
193.5 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 7115, 3847, 6357
Auto
42.0 24%
Teleop
110.0 62%
Endgame
25.4 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2789, 6377, 8515
52
/ 100 compatProjected
140.3 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2789, 6377, 8515
Auto
25.7 19%
Teleop
70.5 52%
Endgame
39.5 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.18 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score193.5pts
Blue projected score140.3pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 76%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 53.2
- Score range
- 101–233
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
385Season APEX267
42Auto25.7
110Teleop70.5
25.4Endgame39.5
35Consistency81
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 26 |
| teleop | 125 | 58 |
| endgame | 89 | 29 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 238 | 113 |
Result
Final score
238 – 113
Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree