Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
237.4 – 156.59
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
382 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 72.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 93.89Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 6.7Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 136.81Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.4 ±11
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 28.83Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 15.07Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 112.69Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9506, 7115, 3847
68
/ 100 compatProjected
237.4 pts
~2.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9506, 7115, 3847
Auto
46.3 21%
Teleop
127.3 58%
Endgame
44.1 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6357, 8515, 418
55
/ 100 compatProjected
156.6 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6357, 8515, 418
Auto
28.1 19%
Teleop
85.1 56%
Endgame
38.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.46 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score237.4pts
Blue projected score156.6pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 82%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.8
- Score range
- 119–275
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
391.6Season APEX300.4
46.3Auto28.1
127.3Teleop85.1
44.1Endgame38
38Consistency76
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 32 |
| teleop | 227 | 73 |
| endgame | 76 | 52 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 382 | 157 |
Result
Final score
382 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 72.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree