Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
293.45 – 115.25
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
281 – 90
Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 164.94Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 108.12Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 20.39Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.4 ±11
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 47.98Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 42.3Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 24.97Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3847, 418, 7115
77
/ 100 compatProjected
293.5 pts
~2.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3847, 418, 7115
Auto
45.3 16%
Teleop
171.1 62%
Endgame
59.8 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2587, 436, 6357
48
/ 100 compatProjected
115.3 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2587, 436, 6357
Auto
27.6 23%
Teleop
54.4 46%
Endgame
37.2 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.72 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score293.5pts
Blue projected score115.3pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 82%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 178.2
- Score range
- 77–331
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
408.1Season APEX300.4
45.3Auto27.6
171.1Teleop54.4
59.8Endgame37.2
51Consistency93
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 65 | 25 |
| teleop | 152 | 37 |
| endgame | 34 | 28 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 281 | 90 |
Result
Final score
281 – 90
Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree