Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
129.44 – 274.49
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
185 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 54 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 55.91Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 31.45Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 42.08Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402 ±9.8
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 67.74Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 135.45Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 71.3Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2789, 2587, 436
51
/ 100 compatProjected
129.4 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2789, 2587, 436
Auto
33.1 25%
Teleop
56.5 42%
Endgame
44.9 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 80%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9577, 2881, 6377
78
/ 100 compatProjected
274.5 pts
~2.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9577, 2881, 6377
Auto
48.7 18%
Teleop
159.6 59%
Endgame
62.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 80%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score129.4pts
Blue projected score274.5pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 80%, blue 85%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -145
- Score range
- 92–311
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
262.5Season APEX402
33.1Auto48.7
56.5Teleop159.6
44.9Endgame62.1
94Consistency83
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 41 |
| teleop | 96 | 254 |
| endgame | 70 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 185 | 327 |
Result
Final score
185 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 54 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree