Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

176.93 – 193.8

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

208 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.4 ±11.7

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 37.99Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 130.91Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 8.03Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±11

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 59.65Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 35.58Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 98.57Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 436, 2881, 7115

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 436, 2881, 7115

Auto

29.4 17%

Teleop

89.1 53%

Endgame

49.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2789, 6357, 9506

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.8 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2789, 6357, 9506

Auto

27.5 15%

Teleop

111.8 60%

Endgame

45.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score176.9pts

Blue projected score193.8pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.9
Score range: 140–231
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 208.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.4Season APEX223.1

29.4Auto27.5

89.1Teleop111.8

49.6Endgame45.9

105Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	27
teleop	150	98
endgame	26	37
foul	0	0
total	208	162

Result

Final score

208 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 31.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree