Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.27 – 211.54

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

300 – 252

Prediction missed · off by 73.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.2 ±10.5

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 8.68Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 59.64Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 124.95Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.8 ±10.4

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 113.01Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 29.1Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 69.43Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8515, 6377, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.3 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8515, 6377, 3847

Auto

49.8 26%

Teleop

99.7 53%

Endgame

38.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 418, 2587, 9577

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 418, 2587, 9577

Auto

44.4 22%

Teleop

118.0 58%

Endgame

42.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score193.3pts

Blue projected score211.5pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.3
Score range: 156–249
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 552 vs event baseline 203.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.2Season APEX286.8

49.8Auto44.4

99.7Teleop118

38.5Endgame42.3

88Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	39
teleop	160	145
endgame	77	68
foul	0	0
total	300	252

Result

Final score

300 – 252

Prediction missed · off by 73.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree