Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

145.43 – 281.68

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 346

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.1 ±11.6

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 39.73Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 100.45Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 5.25Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 399.9 ±10.5

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 118.72Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 55.84Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 107.12Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 436, 9506, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.4 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 436, 9506, 8515

Auto

22.5 15%

Teleop

68.5 47%

Endgame

56.0 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3847, 2789, 418

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.7 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3847, 2789, 418

Auto

54.5 20%

Teleop

160.8 58%

Endgame

60.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score145.4pts

Blue projected score281.7pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 82%, blue 87%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.2
Score range: 109–318
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 530 vs event baseline 199.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.1Season APEX399.9

22.5Auto54.5

68.5Teleop160.8

56Endgame60.6

98Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	45
teleop	101	191
endgame	33	95
foul	0	15
total	184	346

Result

Final score

184 – 346

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree