Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

225.64 – 155.39

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.7 ±11.2

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 73.5Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 16.6Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 135.54Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.8 ±10.4

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 35.22Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 52.08Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 68.09Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9577, 7115, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9577, 7115, 2881

Auto

30.3 14%

Teleop

139.9 66%

Endgame

42.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2587, 6357, 6377

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.4 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2587, 6357, 6377

Auto

39.2 26%

Teleop

89.2 59%

Endgame

22.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.34 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score225.6pts

Blue projected score155.4pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 82%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.3
Score range: 118–263
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 203.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.7Season APEX321.8

30.3Auto39.2

139.9Teleop89.2

42.7Endgame22.2

51Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	41
teleop	86	36
endgame	60	14
foul	30	0
total	215	91

Result

Final score

215 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree