Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.7 – 271.44

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 142

Prediction missed · off by 71.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.1 ±11.7

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 13.82Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 138.42Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX -0.54Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.4 ±10.5

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 132.28Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 54.17Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 84.99Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7115, 2881, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7115, 2881, 8515

Auto

27.9 21%

Teleop

61.9 46%

Endgame

43.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3847, 436, 9577

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3847, 436, 9577

Auto

67.1 25%

Teleop

146.5 55%

Endgame

55.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score151.7pts

Blue projected score271.4pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 87%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.7
Score range: 115–308
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 206.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.1Season APEX390.4

27.9Auto67.1

61.9Teleop146.5

43.4Endgame55.2

71Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	28
teleop	108	78
endgame	47	36
foul	0	0
total	165	142

Result

Final score

165 – 142

Prediction missed · off by 71.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree