Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
212.86 – 59.41
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
292 – 202
Prediction correct · off by 110.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 89.92Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 84.46Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 38.48Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.9 ±11
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX -4.11Rank 10Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 42.36Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 21.16Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9506, 418, 6357
61
/ 100 compatProjected
212.9 pts
~2.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9506, 418, 6357
Auto
24.6 12%
Teleop
102.9 51%
Endgame
73.4 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2587, 6377, 2789
23
/ 100 compatProjected
59.4 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2587, 6377, 2789
Auto
40.0 61%
Teleop
23.2 35%
Endgame
2.8 4%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.63 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score212.9pts
Blue projected score59.4pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample48alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 82%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 153.5
- Score range
- 22–250
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
284.1Season APEX283.9
24.6Auto40
102.9Teleop23.2
73.4Endgame2.8
35Consistency83
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 29 |
| teleop | 227 | 113 |
| endgame | 32 | 55 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 292 | 202 |
Result
Final score
292 – 202
Prediction correct · off by 110.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree