Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.9 – 92.42

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

156 – 213

Prediction missed · off by 111.2 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.3 ±11

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 69.38Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 101.61Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 86.91Rank 12Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.3 ±12.2

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 22.35Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 68.27Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 1.8Rank 4Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6377, 418, 436

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.9 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6377, 418, 436

Auto

43.7 17%

Teleop

154.3 61%

Endgame

54.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2789, 9577, 7115

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2789, 9577, 7115

Auto

28.9 30%

Teleop

63.4 67%

Endgame

2.6 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 85%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.67 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score257.9pts

Blue projected score92.4pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 85%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 165.5
Score range: 55–295
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 369 vs event baseline 205.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.3Season APEX156.3

43.7Auto28.9

154.3Teleop63.4

54.5Endgame2.6

135Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	18
teleop	74	97
endgame	44	48
foul	0	50
total	156	213

Result

Final score

156 – 213

Prediction missed · off by 111.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree