Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

259.06 – 175.72

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

338 – 366

Prediction missed · off by 134.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428 ±9.8

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 143.24Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 31.24Rank 9Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 84.58Rank 5Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.3 ±10.5

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 30.43Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 152.87Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -7.58Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2881, 6357, 418

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2881, 6357, 418

Auto

4.8 2%

Teleop

166.3 65%

Endgame

85.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9577, 3847, 2789

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.7 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9577, 3847, 2789

Auto

75.4 44%

Teleop

65.3 38%

Endgame

31.3 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.37 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score259.1pts

Blue projected score175.7pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 85%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.3
Score range: 142–293
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 704 vs event baseline 190.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428Season APEX346.3

4.8Auto75.4

166.3Teleop65.3

85.6Endgame31.3

50Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	65
teleop	189	252
endgame	80	49
foul	5	0
total	338	366

Result

Final score

338 – 366

Prediction missed · off by 134.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree