Dripping Springs Robotics Invitational Palooza 2026

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

239.83 – 189.08

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

203 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.1 ±10.4

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 100.57Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 56.09Rank 6Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 83.17Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.9 ±11.1

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 1.81Rank 11Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 49.49Rank 8Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 137.78Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9506, 9577, 6377

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.8 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9506, 9577, 6377

Auto

47.2 20%

Teleop

145.2 62%

Endgame

41.4 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8515, 2789, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8515, 2789, 2881

Auto

32.2 17%

Teleop

93.1 50%

Endgame

59.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score239.8pts

Blue projected score189.1pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample48alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 82%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.8
Score range: 151–278
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 212.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.1Season APEX389.9

47.2Auto32.2

145.2Teleop93.1

41.4Endgame59.7

48Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	39
teleop	111	35
endgame	53	52
foul	0	0
total	203	126

Result

Final score

203 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree