FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

646.84 – 365.12

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

722 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 895.1 ±8.1

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 80.98Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 284.87Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 280.99Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.4 ±10.4

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 103.44Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 108.98Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 152.7Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9140, 9128, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

646.8 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9140, 9128, 6369

Auto

130.0 20%

Teleop

353.7 55%

Endgame

153.9 24%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8576, 418, 2714

/ 100 compat

Projected

365.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8576, 418, 2714

Auto

71.3 20%

Teleop

206.5 57%

Endgame

86.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score646.8pts

Blue projected score365.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 281.7
Score range: 312–700
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 970 vs event baseline 296.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

895.1Season APEX391.4

130Auto71.3

353.7Teleop206.5

153.9Endgame86.3

108Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	131	56
teleop	412	82
endgame	164	95
foul	15	15
total	722	248

Result

Final score

722 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.