FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

671.73 – 447.92

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

692 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 115.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 895.1 ±8.1

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 88.97Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 291.38Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 291.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.5 ±9.3

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 182.6Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 171.31Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 94.01Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9140, 9128, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

671.7 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9140, 9128, 6369

Auto

124.2 19%

Teleop

383.7 58%

Endgame

154.3 23%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4206, 148, 6357

/ 100 compat

Projected

447.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4206, 148, 6357

Auto

79.6 18%

Teleop

252.9 57%

Endgame

108.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.81 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score671.7pts

Blue projected score447.9pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 223.8
Score range: 393–727
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 929 vs event baseline 306.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

895.1Season APEX540.5

124.2Auto79.6

383.7Teleop252.9

154.3Endgame108.3

47Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	136	76
teleop	333	149
endgame	208	12
foul	15	0
total	692	237

Result

Final score

692 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 115.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.