FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.73 – 180.41

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431 ±9.8

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 143.51Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 135.84Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7616Cerberus

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 50.38Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.8 ±9.8

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 94.72Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 15.38Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 70.31Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2848, 4063, 7616

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2848, 4063, 7616

Auto

67.1 20%

Teleop

182.5 55%

Endgame

81.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5414, 10518, 8114

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5414, 10518, 8114

Auto

11.6 7%

Teleop

86.9 49%

Endgame

77.4 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score329.7pts

Blue projected score180.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.3
Score range: 127–383
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 296.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431Season APEX316.8

67.1Auto11.6

182.5Teleop86.9

81.3Endgame77.4

77Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	20
teleop	144	76
endgame	92	57
foul	30	0
total	311	153

Result

Final score

311 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.