FIRST In Texas District Championship - Apollo Division

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

183.07 – 488.29

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

314 – 389

Prediction correct · off by 115.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.3 ±10.4

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 93.56Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2158the ausTIN CANs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 91.09Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -1.58Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 601.8 ±8.8

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 63.61Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 121.56Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 303.12Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4639, 2158, 11169

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4639, 2158, 11169

Auto

43.6 25%

Teleop

98.9 56%

Endgame

35.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5411, 8858, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

488.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5411, 8858, 6369

Auto

66.1 14%

Teleop

285.4 59%

Endgame

135.7 28%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score183.1pts

Blue projected score488.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -305.2
Score range: 131–540
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 703 vs event baseline 291.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.3Season APEX601.8

43.6Auto66.1

98.9Teleop285.4

35.2Endgame135.7

71Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	81
teleop	152	216
endgame	82	92
foul	15	0
total	314	389

Result

Final score

314 – 389

Prediction correct · off by 115.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.